The Syria Analysis Thread

10 posts

Apocales
Iran will send 4,000 troops to aid Bashar al-Assad’s forces in Syria

World Exclusive: US urges Britain and France to join in supplying arms to Syrian rebels as MPs fear that UK will be drawn into growing Sunni-Shia conflict

Washington’s decision to arm Syria’s Sunni Muslim rebels has plunged America into the great Sunni-Shia conflict of the Islamic Middle East, entering a struggle that now dwarfs the Arab revolutions which overthrew dictatorships across the region.
For the first time, all of America’s ‘friends’ in the region are Sunni Muslims and all of its enemies are Shiites. Breaking all President Barack Obama’s rules of disengagement, the US is now fully engaged on the side of armed groups which include the most extreme Sunni Islamist movements in the Middle East. The Independent on Sunday has learned that a military decision has been taken in Iran – even before last week’s presidential election – to send a first contingent of 4,000 Iranian Revolutionary Guards to Syria to support President Bashar al-Assad’s forces against the largely Sunni rebellion that has cost almost 100,000 lives in just over two years. Iran is now fully committed to preserving Assad’s regime, according to pro-Iranian sources which have been deeply involved in the Islamic Republic’s security, even to the extent of proposing to open up a new ‘Syrian’ front on the Golan Heights against Israel.
Bob Dylan Roof
Mike

I had genuinely liked Vice's film This is What Winning Looks Like about American nation-building efforts in Afghanistan, and so I was disappointed by this.

This evening I watched the first six parts ("full length") of Vice's "Ground Zero" series on Syria, filmed mostly in shot-up parts of Aleppo. There is a seventh-part addendum about snipers that I did not finish watching. Warning: A lot of gore.

http://www.vice.com/ground-zero/syria-full-length
http://www.vice.com/ground-zero/syria-snipers-of-aleppo

On a certain level, the movies are stark and eye-opening. These guys are deep in dangerous territory filming the horrible effects of war on civilians. On a deeper level, it's terrible journalism. There is absolutely no background or context for the violence; all we get is rebels telling us how bad Al-Assad is. In effect, Vice has produced a lengthy propaganda piece for the FSA rebels. Even as a report on the rebels, there is almost no indication of the Salafi-versus-secular dimension or other complexities. Just, Al-Assad is a bad man and shame on you Western world for not helping the rebels to remove him. I can't recommend this film unless you like to watch kids being chewed up as a result of urban warfare. Not worth it IMHO.

Niccolo and Donkey
Russians on Obama and Syria :

nuclear launch detected

Team Zissou
niccolo and donkey Thomas777 Angocachi President Camacho

That's what my family members think and, per my link below, there are apparently rumors of a partitioning.

http://araborthodoxy.blogspot.com/2013/06/fr-georges-massouh-on-syrian-christians.html

Ditch the Ba'athism, Abouna.
Niccolo and Donkey
Special Report: Syria's Islamists seize control as moderates dither





Grimsrud
Yes, this is my assessment of the situation, too. Thomas777 (a poster whom I have tremendous respect for) has this idea that clowns like John McCain are simply supporting these uprisings in the Arab world as part of a pathetic attempt to create an impression that the United States and its pals are still in control of the situation, in spite of the fact that a supposed "Salafi awakening" will work out badly for them. I'd like to hear his input on the "perpetual chaos by design" theory.
Niccolo and Donkey
The UN's cultural organisation has placed six world heritage sites in Syria on an endangered list because of the continued violence in the country.

Niccolo and Donkey

Some 'Disaster Capitalism'. A little bit of conspiracy theory from the left: