The Syria Analysis Thread

10 posts

SweetLeftFoot
Looks Chechen to me.
Team Zissou
Ah. Very good catch my journalist friend.
SweetLeftFoot
They are clearly jihadis as well supplied - one guy has a cammoed up rifle on his backpack as a spare. The local Syrian fighters are scrambling for weapons and ammo and these guys have spares? Being funded by Saudi/Qatar.

Also, the black beanie/toque thing he has is Westernish. He's dressed with the spare opuches and combats like he's seen plenty of combat before. Looks exactly like so many Chechens from that fight. See the same black beanies here.

[​IMG]

In fact, from the whole vibe, it looks like he's the commander who has ordered the Arabs - and they look more Saudi/Kuwaiti/Gulf than Syrian - to execute this bloke.

The way they are going about it and the way they are dressed indicates they don't have much combat experience.

My take that could be wildly wrong: the two Arabs are Gulf jihadi volunteers being looked after by the experienced Chechen jihadi/merc who is "blooding" them with this shooting.

Look at the expressions on their faces and the way they are holding their weapons. They are getting right into it while the Chechen has this look of "Yep, seen that a zillion times".
Niccolo and Donkey
SweetLeftFoot
MadScienceType

That doesn't speak well for Asssad.

President Camacho
What doesn't speak well for him? The fact that he has loyal followers who compare him to Lincoln... or the fact that he has a Chechen infestation?
MadScienceType

It's an insult to Assad. Clearly his followers are referring to the noble Lincoln as portrayed by Spielberg, et al.

The Chechen thing doesn't help either.

On another note, now I know where people from the grunge scene in Seattle all went, assuming they didn't enter middle age in the employ of Starbucks.

[​IMG]

Angocachi
[​IMG]
November 23, 2012

Green - Assad
Blue- Contested
Red - Rebels

The larger the circle the larger the population

Essentially the Turks have enabled the NATO favored rebels to take the entire Syrian side of the border, while Salafis pour in from Lebanon and Iraq.
The Druze in the South, Christians & Alawites in the West have kept those territories for Assad by sheer vacuum of Sunnis, and Assad's military/militia have kept Damascus, Homs, and Aleppo from falling.
Angocachi
Saudi Monarchy tries to turn off flow of Salafis into Syria.

Note that the Saudi regime still supports aiding the Syrian insurgency with money and arms, but does not want Jihadists to actually go there. The GCC and NATO want to topple the Irano-Russian backed Assad, but with a Secular FSA, not guys under the command of AQ veterans. They're trying to avoid the mistakes of 2011 Libya, 1980's Afghanistan, 1990's Balkans, etc where they back Muslim insurgencies against anti-Blue Camp governments but then have to flush out the Shariah demanding militias afterward or risk an Islamic state rising.