← Autodidact Archive · Original Dissent · Exelsis_Deo
Thread ID: 18459 | Posts: 63 | Started: 2005-05-30
2005-05-30 22:17 | User Profile
Fellow Dissenters,
I'd like to start a thread dealing exclusively with stock market tips. Let's keep it pertained only to specific companies and why you think they are a buy or sell at this point. I've had success with low-priced stocks. I figure most here are intelligent and I would wager that many do invest or trade. Therefore, why not an OD stock-tip thread ?
I'll kick it off with these, and explain why I think they are buys if others show an interest in this pursuit.
-- ENY ( Enernorth ) -- SPSC ( Spectrum ) -- INGN ( Introgen ) -- CPST ( Capstone Turbine ) -- LB ( LaBarge ) -- QTWW ( Quantum )
can we make some $$$ here ???
2005-05-31 20:26 | User Profile
Aside from my 401k, I don't have enough "disposable" income to play the Wall Street Roulette game.... where the game's fixed by the house--:caiphas:-- and the unsuspecting player--:sad:--always loses in the end. You'd probably have better odds on a slot machine at some Indian Casino.
Keep your cash close by (savings acct or a shoebox under the bed) for easy accessebility. That's my tip.
2005-05-31 21:40 | User Profile
I am currently plowing thru Graham's The Intelligent Investor. I'm trying to put together an outline for securities analysis based on Graham's book. Then I'll be ready to look at individual stocks.
2005-06-01 01:14 | User Profile
California real estate is hot. Hell, for that matter, Reno is hot. Buy some property and resell it in two years. You'll make some money.
2005-06-01 03:20 | User Profile
Sorry Barnau but in two years there will be no real state market.
Where there was a foreclosure of 250 houses a months now is up to 1,000 and this is only the beginning.
Invest in debts collectors and water companys.
2005-06-01 06:20 | User Profile
E Deo,
If you want to make S's with lines through them, or $$$, (just found that key) then look at NAT and LEXR. The latter because it is in a legal IP battle with Toshiba to be settled June 21 (the old pump and dump) and the former because it is a derivative of oil and it just tanked down to 40, which is a good buy. (Look at NAT's dividend rate; better than a bond)
With our great leader pushing CAFTA and soon the FTAA agreements to destroy America, a temporary boost (temporary, mind you) goes to CAT which sells generators and heavy equipment to South American countries. Generally, a short, temporary burst occurs with a piss-away our jobs "trade" agreement from our masters in stocks such as CHKE (look at their dividend, too).
Other than that, I'm into CDs and gold coins, awaiting the planned demise of the dollar.
What would be interesting is to find out what our masters invest in. I bet they're buying gold.
2005-06-01 12:00 | User Profile
[QUOTE=Ponce]Sorry Barnau but in two years there will be no real state market.
Where there was a foreclosure of 250 houses a months now is up to 1,000 and this is only the beginning.
Invest in debts collectors and water companys.[/QUOTE]
Yeah, we're waitting for the bubble to burst.
2005-06-01 14:49 | User Profile
As far as I'm concerned, participation in the modern babylonish 'stock market' is a form of practical Semiticism and a cynical renunciation of higher ethics. It is an affirmation of deracinating globalism and aberrant Anglo-Judaic international finance-capitalism. The separation of work and ownership is schizophrenic and subversive. The rise of liquid, impersonal, artificial, unproductive, parasitic and virtual forms of wealth is a catastrophe.
All conformists to the modernist economic system need to re-study Aristotle and Aquinas: Wealth-getting that extends beyond the decent support of one's family and the improvement of one's personality and local polis, is degenerate, and a prelude to licentiousness and internal anarchic corruption of the State.
In fact, study Jesus:
"What does it profit a man if he gain the whole world but suffer the loss of his soul?"
In this one statement Jesus refutes and destroys the modern world and all its mindless doctrines.
Gentiles, because of their lack of intelligence and foresight as regards economic issues and the inevitable interpenetration of economics with national and moral matters, are the object of mockery in the eyes of international Jewry. We are dumb, idolatrous, easily fleeced sheep to international Jewish plutocratic bankerdom, and we certainly haven't disproved them in their arrogance lately. We have allowed them to eradicate the residues of the idealistic Christian-chivalric framework of community by our degenerated leadership's internalization of the Third-Estate mentality, and now even the Third-Estate mentality is collapsing before the onrush of the even more ignoble Fourth-Estate mentality (i.e. Marxian promiscuity and matriarchy). A civilization without a true nobility embodying heroic, transcendent values is decapitated and useless. A civilization based primarily on material, quantitative factors is inherently unstable. That is why decadent societies such as found in the modern West are so chaotic and manipulable. Because extra-economic and extra-physical values are disprized, all that has an effect in our inherently fragile and unstable 'system' is the terroristic power of concentrated capital. The ethical power of highly cultivated human beings is inconsequential in such a babelist-mammonist system. Through our own decadence the Anglo-Judaic oligarchy has achieved a sweeping centralization of capital, and, like blind slaves, we prostitute ourselves to this debasing global-system in our worship of Dow Jones averages and the GDP in a world lacking in final causes.
2005-06-01 17:26 | User Profile
Well taken post, Esoterist. My sympathies run according, but this is the country/world/system I live in, and I have to do survive. I'm no corporate raider, shape-shifting international banker or Wall Street Wolfman. Just a poor slouch trying to make some ziti ( like a part-time job ).
[QUOTE=Esoterist] In fact, study Jesus:
"What does it profit a man if he gain the whole world but suffer the loss of his soul?" .[/QUOTE]
I don't think My Lord is going to be displeased with me for using my intelligence and instincts to evaluate an investment, and profit from lending the company my $ . I focus on growing companies. Certainly those whose greed is on the sin category or those who bear false witness and other transgressions, but not a simple stock trade. Even Jesus paid tax.
[QUOTE=Esoterist] Gentiles, because of their lack of intelligence and foresight as regards economic issues and the inevitable interpenetration of economics with national and moral matters, are the object of mockery in the eyes of international Jewry. We are dumb, idolatrous, easily fleeced sheep to international Jewish plutocratic bankerdom, and we certainly haven't disproved them in their arrogance lately.[/QUOTE] Jewish ownership and control of Wall Street is deep, but not all-permeating. The Brits, WASPs, Italians, Asians ( esp. Japanese ) and general Americans still have their own houses and large networks. Not to mention Arab/Saudi investments esp. in high-tech. Jew ownership of Wall Street is on a lesser scale than in the media. And saying that Gentiles lack the intelligence is downright incorrect. The vast majority of corporate entrepreneurs, inventors, scientists, and directors are Gentile. On the macro end of which you speak, it has little to do with evaluating individual companies ( which this thread is for ) and everything to do with the Federal Reserve fractional lending system, etc. The Jews are experts at collusion and nepotism, but they are no more intelligent economically per se, just more manipulative and exclusive in achieving their own ends.
2005-06-01 17:46 | User Profile
Thanks for the tips, pjoseph. NAT and CHKE look like solid value plays, and LEXR is the temprary hottie on that ticket. Looks good here at 5.13 with the Jan21-22 date approaching. Nice. I'll take a stab at LEXR for myself and possibly the others for other accounts I manage.
If you like oil/gas, check out ENY. It's only got a 2.5 mil total mkt cap. It has 7 mil in the bank and is producing more every quarter in its existing properties. Alberta-based. Only 4 mil total shs. And for homeland security/military contracts/engineering check out SPSC. SPSC is on the bulletin board but will go for Naz soon. Both of these are easy 100 % gainers in less than 6 months. Doing nice intraday here. ENY1:18PM ET 0.70 Up 0.08 +12.90% SPSC.OB 1:14PM ET 1.24 Up 0.05 +4.20%
2005-06-02 03:49 | User Profile
Yes... good points, esoterist.
I was going to ask the forum about the morality of profiteering from the demise of our great nation. It would be like war profiteering - the war being the one that has been waged insidiously against Western Christian Civilization. As long as we know what the conspiracy is up to, we can take advantage of the market forces resulting from our own government's destroy-America policies.
But is it profiteering or could it be viewed as mere survival? Take, as an example, an American living in a house he owns in an entry point city of the US which is now worth a lot of money due to the immigrant invasion. More people, less houses and he sells at a profit. This is an accidental advantage - is he guilty of something?
E Deo, one more thing: AT&T (T) is a disaster of a poorly managed company, but it's hit rock bottom at 18.50 for many years. It's not going down any more (book rate is 40) but will go up by year's end due to SBC buying them. And, look at their 6% dividend. You might want to look more at dividends, too, these days.
2005-06-02 04:41 | User Profile
Pjoseph, I have to say I'm really glad you are into this thread with me. As a member of OD for 3 years, I took a stab at creating a serious stock market thread out of the blue. I bought 2000 shares of LEXR today. ENY is up 21 % today, my top dog. It's still a buy. Big. See you at 1.25. I am a scrupulous investor. I peruse the SEC filings to no end. I dig, call, and dig again, although I lack the funds to travel as an expense. PJoseph, let's continue this dialogue, and hope others catch on, there are good minds in OD, I started this thread believing that some of them do invest in the stock market, albeit unappropriately. Way it stands now, I am long ENY, SPSC, SPAB, and NPTI. I am waiting for over a dollar on ENY. Todays action is nothing. I'm waiting for the press release about the new properties they have been seeking. A land on that bill will make it the 1.25 it deserves. Looking forward to this being a permanent thread on Original Dissent, where us like minds can make some $.
2005-06-02 14:23 | User Profile
Exelsis_Deo , how long do you hold your purchases ? I tend to stay away from any stocks priced less than $5. Ive still got a couple "dogs" that are going nowwhere, but ive only spent a few hundred on each. Ive seen several stocks that go from $.50/share to 0.05/share
i tend to trade on a shorter term basis, usually a few days, sometimes the same day during a volitile market.
2005-06-02 16:25 | User Profile
[QUOTE=Bardamu]Yeah, we're waitting for the bubble to burst.[/QUOTE] Some have waited, and waited, and waited...
2005-06-02 18:22 | User Profile
[QUOTE=JoseyWales]Exelsis_Deo , how long do you hold your purchases ? I tend to stay away from any stocks priced less than $5. Ive still got a couple "dogs" that are going nowwhere, but ive only spent a few hundred on each. Ive seen several stocks that go from $.50/share to 0.05/share
i tend to trade on a shorter term basis, usually a few days, sometimes the same day during a volitile market.[/QUOTE]
I used to trade them more frequently, like a day or three, but now I tend to try and give them longer, the reason being that the market is not as volatile as it used to be, the stocks don't "pop" like they used to. I miss the fractions and dislike the decimals. In general, I have some event or improvement concerning the company in mind, and when that is achieved, I usually move on. Before I buy anything, I go to the SEC filings. As far as your "dogs" go, if you want to tell me what they are, I will analyze them and let you know what I think.
2005-06-03 01:43 | User Profile
[QUOTE=madrussian]Some have waited, and waited, and waited...[/QUOTE]
Truly. But I really think $500,000 for a bungalow [I]can't[/I] be a smart move. We're not buying. I just can't do it at this point.
2005-06-06 10:49 | User Profile
[QUOTE=Exelsis_Deo]I lack the funds to travel [/QUOTE]LOL. Then you can't be doing all that well in the market or your day job (if you even have one). You should become a Catholic Priest: we take care of you and for your social needs..an endless supply of young boys. Jeebo rules!
2005-06-06 18:03 | User Profile
I didn't say that, moron boy. It was another poster. Have fun in the Void and go troll up some liberal sites, maggot.
2005-06-07 18:39 | User Profile
[QUOTE=pjoseph]E Deo, If you want to make S's with lines through them, or $$$, (just found that key) then look at NAT and LEXR. [/QUOTE]
I picked up LEXR last week at 5.11 now it's 5.66 and still running.
[url]http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=LEXR[/url]
cha-ching $$$
2005-06-09 17:45 | User Profile
Today i added ECST (ecost.com) to my watch list. its breaking out. i missed the runup, but after it has a pullback, i might get some.
2005-06-10 03:25 | User Profile
Josey, I noticed E-Cost today. It's on my list. DD to come ( due diligence ).
It's been good lately. First, let me start with the "coulda-been". I scrapped out CYOS. At .018. I dug thru the SEC filings and saw it was a buy. In the account which I wanted to use to buy it, however, over 5000 shares is a .01/share commission, so I told friends and held back. In 2 days it hit .07 / .08 and I could have made 6 times my money. 5k woulda been 30k, and it held there almost all day, plenty of time to sell. Oh well. Back to my core holding, ENY. I gave it to this board in my first post. ENY went up 38 % today on 2x normal vol. Yesterday I spoke to the CFO. This is my core holding. Call me insane for holding what is now a 4 million $ total market capitalization as my core holding, but I am not, I am UP and there is PLENTY legs left. Some other hotties trancing around - CROO, SPSC, CPST, AMRE.
2005-06-10 12:52 | User Profile
I need to start doing something other than looking at charts. do you have any good links on how to interpret SEC reports ? Most of my "fundamental" type analysis comes from looking at the profile sections on yahoo finance. I look at things like debt and cash flow over the last few quarters and compare to others in the same industry. What kinds of data do you look for before taking a long position ? Do you ever short stocks ?
2005-06-10 21:13 | User Profile
I don't have money to invest in the stock market, but I've been watching (and using) TiVo for the past five years and I think this is a seriously undervalued stock. It was down around $3 before the announcement of the Comcast deal, and is now around $7, but could potentially blast up to many times that amount if TiVo's strategy to use advertising to target audiences in a manner similar to Google or Yahoo pans out.
In fact TiVo recently bought some patents from IBM related to advertising that someone interested in this stock should look at very closely. The problem with PVRs (personal video recorders) is that people only see it as a way of avoiding advertisements, and thus, undermining "free" TV. TiVo is figuring out ways to target ads to people who actually want to see them, in a manner similar to online search engines, and is rumored in fact to be in talks with Google and Yahoo for some kind of partnership deals.
Yes, we all know TV is evil and ads are annoying, but they aren't going away, and TiVo may offer you a way to make some money off of the sheeple whilst encouraging a new technology and business model that is less annoying and less "evil"; ie, turning TV advertisements into something more like print and magazine advertisements - more targeted, more likely to be something you might actually want to watch, more easily ignored or opted out of, but still lucrative enough to pay for "free" TV. Someone's going to figure out how to do this and make money; it could be TiVo, and one might want to look into this if one has the extra cash to risk.
I wish I had the extra cash to risk, but I don't. I really wish I had the cash to invest when TiVo was down around $3.
If these advertisement deals and deals with Google and/or Yahoo pan out, TiVo stock is going to shoot up fast. If TiVo starts winning its current patent lawsuits (esp. againt Dish Network), the sky is the limit.
TiVo is set to gain huge increase in subscribers thanks to the Comcast deal; the Comcast deal also makes it less likely they will lose their DirecTV partnership, and makes deals more likely with other cable providers. TiVo has been "losing" money in a bid to grow its subscriber base; now that it isn't spending as much money on growing subscriber base, it is set to turn a profit by the end of the year. Real long term profitability, however, is still several years away.
Of course do your own research and weigh the risks yourselves.
2005-06-11 00:37 | User Profile
greetings, E Deo,
I'm glad you've gotten LEXR; it's still going to go up. I hope you did not get NAT - other tankers are shorting it because there are about 30 of them who have just built more ships. It's public info. Gotta leave NAT; it's tanking.
Have you seen MOT? It's not the best run company, but 12.4% dividend and it indicates a clear buy signal. I like short term gains myself but this one has been sitting at 18 for a long time and hedges its bet by giving out 12.4% dividend every month.
Is there a way to find out what the build-your-own-burgers, I mean, the bilderbergers invest in? I've gone back and forth over the years regarding the question - do these conspirators create trends or do they manipulate existing trends? Is there just a tendency toward a Tower of Babel world government or do these secret societies invent these movements in a vacuum? Either way, they follow what's going on closer than we do - and they must invest. My gut feel is that it's in gold because they foresee the future of the dollar.
You're right about the intelligence of this site's participants. And everyones' ability to spot trends that the evil conspiracy is up to. Would turning this skill into that of "hitting the market where they ain't" and scoring a few bucks out of this be in any way unethically opportunistic, naughty, or immoral? Imagine investing in Orange County property in 1965 before the immigrant invasion?
2005-06-11 02:28 | User Profile
[QUOTE=pjoseph]greetings, E Deo, I'm glad you've gotten LEXR; it's still going to go up. Is there a way to find out what the build-your-own-burgers, I mean, the bilderbergers invest in? I've gone back and forth over the years regarding the question - do these conspirators create trends or do they manipulate existing trends? [/QUOTE] Basically, the Bilderberg crowd doesn't need the stock market. They create their form of wealth through money lending and usury. They are beyond wealthy, and have even gone past the point where it means anything to them. The level of wealth they hold is the optimum extent of the power of monetary wealth. It is their other schemes which we should be concerned with. btw I still hold 2000 shares of LEXR I find myself liking it, perhaps more than the settlement date, and I thank you for that tip.
2005-06-11 02:43 | User Profile
[QUOTE=JoseyWales]I need to start doing something other than looking at charts. do you have any good links on how to interpret SEC reports ? Most of my "fundamental" type analysis comes from looking at the profile sections on yahoo finance. I look at things like debt and cash flow over the last few quarters and compare to others in the same industry. What kinds of data do you look for before taking a long position ? Do you ever short stocks ?[/QUOTE]
Hi Josey. Today my ENY went up another 30 %. Thats 65 % in 2 days. Im smiling. I held it for four months, and it's still got legs. Waiting for around 2 1/2-3/sh. Even then it will only have a 10-12 mil mkt cap. The best way to interpret reports is to look at them in their fullness, and use your own and other's judgement on that. Do not use Yahoo for SEC filings. They only print a small amount of the actual filing. Go to [url]http://www.sec.gov[/url], click on "search the Edgar Database", then "search for historical filings". There you will get the FULL SEC reports on every move a listed company makes. Read them and use the perceived potential of said company as only that, a "potential". Look mainly at cash on hand. Cash on hand is major. It is what keeps the company functioning without lending. So, basically, any company before you buy it, you absolutely must go to the SEC government website and perouse the full filings. Personally, I've been in the market so long that I literally have 1000 tickers in my head. So, I have plenty to track. I scoop up new ones at [url]http://www.otcbb.com[/url] sometimes. I check out the biggest gainers on the BB and often they are up 50 % or more but still got legs.. because they are penny stocks. I have also usedx stock screeners, where I put in my criteria, always being very fussy and aiming high. A few pop up, then you do your due diligence on those. As far as chat/message boards go, I only use them to get new ideas or post my own hype. I must admit I like to pump. But for friends such as here, I'll always keep it honest. For example, Capstone Turbine, CPST is trading at exactly cash value right now. Not assets, which adds to the value, just pure cash in the bank. It's a buck. Revolutionary technology. check out. And even though ENY is now 1.28, I still call it a buy, and it still only has a market cap of 5 million, which is tiny. I have many more. About the other poster and Tivo, I don't care for that. Tivo is 4.5 million in debt and not operating profitably. It only has 1/5 mkt cap in cash. I do not recommend it. The enthusiasm over the product via Greg is understood, but this does not translate into a buy position.
2005-06-11 02:58 | User Profile
[QUOTE=JoseyWales] Do you ever short stocks ?[/QUOTE]
I used to. I made my share of mistakes, for example, back in early 2000 I had puts ( which are short options and have a limited time frame ) on CSCO and DELL. I was right about their future, yes I was. I shorted CSCO at 78 and it went to 12, I shorted DELL at 55 and it went to 10. I was correct, but I lost all the money because I had March puts. Options expire on the third Friday of every month. The crash came the week after my options expired, and you know I was wishing I paid the extra for the April puts and not the March. I did once make 20,000 $ on a Lucent put in 1 day. The way the market is now, however, I do not recommend going short. There's too many undervalued stocks out there that will have their day in the sun and I focus on going long.
2005-06-16 00:46 | User Profile
Watch Google, today it made a low of 268 and change but managed to close over 274 on volume of over 20million shares traded. Looking at the charts, im reluctant, yet I think it might make another run at 300. Im still not sure why this thang hasnt split yet. That next leg up might have already started, but for now im happy with the pullback its had, and im out of my short position.
The way to play this monster is with options.
2005-06-16 01:04 | User Profile
Exelsis_Deo - That play you made on Lucent puts, sounds familiar. Dont mean to brag..oh heck, why not, i made over 7K going short HLIT and holding overnight. Next day it dropped from 12+ to 5 something. I covered that morning. Those kinds of trades dont happen very often over the course of a year. Not very long after that i started trading options and got my arse handed to me in short order.
That was during a time when i was very close to trading fulltime, everyday for a living. Nowdays im getting bolder when it comes to options and im still playing on paper mostly.
Some traders loose tens of thousands over the course of their trading activity, some loose everything and then some. I feel fortunate that ive lost less than 10K over the last few years.
:)
Now im back with a vengance to stick to my own trading rules.
2005-06-16 03:16 | User Profile
[QUOTE=JoseyWales]That was during a time when i was very close to trading fulltime, everyday for a living. Nowdays im getting bolder when it comes to options and im still playing on paper mostly. .[/QUOTE] Hi bro. I thought I was retired at 30 yrs old. I traded full time for 2 1/2 years. At the end of that period, I was correct in all my decisions, but the limited time frame of the options took me for a wash. I missed it by one month. Literally, April puts instead of March in 2000 and I wouldn't be working anymore. Now, I work, and trade. That's the combo we need in this fickle, cynical market. I am having a tremendous week. In my first post which started this thread, I said I had ENY. ENY is now at 1.44 so I am up 80 %. I also made 2k on pjoseph's LEXR tip, which I sold today. I want this thread to be a discussion of the here and now. Our own histories are fine to discuss, but let's talk about how to make $ on the mkt today. Any new tips ? I always have them. Discovering hidden gems is my forte. If you look at my inital thread start the ones I listed net a pretty penny in a couple weeks. Check out BLDP as a new one and CROO, MBTT, and SPSC at a buck.
2005-06-16 03:48 | User Profile
JoseyWales, the Google earnings release is July 21. I would be curious to see the previous patterns with this stock as far as run ups during the weeks before the earnings release and how bad the sell offs usually are post-release.
I would surprised if corporate has not planned for a 3:1 split by now. They may wait to announce that at earnings release time.
2005-06-16 13:07 | User Profile
BLDP - wow, what a run its had lately! CROO,MBTT - hmm, im not sure i like the charts SPSC - on a 6month chart, it looks ready for a rebound, but im not sure the strengh of the rebound will be significant. hard for me to tell as of yet.
ECOST, has had a little pullback and if the broader market turns around soon, it might resume its uptrend. Might pick up some soon.
2005-06-16 15:34 | User Profile
Deo? I don't deal in the stock market but I'll give you this tip, set yourself with a goal (how much money you want) and then stick to it (don't be to greedy) and then GET OUT AND STAY OUT.
When I started my own company with my own invention that's what I did and instead of taking me 10-12 to make X ammount of $$$$$$$$ it took me only 6 years and then I got out.
I could have made a hell of a lot more but why? I can live only in one house and eat only so much......now I got it made in the shade and my only reason to exist is to give Tex a hard time hahahahahaha .....sorry Tex only kidding. :twisted:
2005-06-22 07:16 | User Profile
gentlemen,
When to buy a stock and when to sell a stock would be good to know. Tell me if this isn't true empirically of every stock history you've ever seen:
Buy it: when the 10 day Moving Average cuts up through the 200 day Moving Average SOUTH of the stock price.
Sell it: when the 10 day MA cuts down through the 50 day MA NORTH of the stock price.
Use Yahoo Finance, select a stock, and hit "technical analysis". Then you get a graph of the stock (blue line) activity over 3 months, 6 months, 1 year or whatever you want. Select 50 day MA, then 200 day MA, then 10 day MA. Your graph then has all 3 MA's color coded. Look at the history of any normal kind of stock, one that hasn't had too unconventional a history. Look at when the buy signal was and when the sell signal was - companies profit-take and that seems to show up whenever your black line (10 day MA) cuts south through the red guy (50 day MA) at a point north of the blue line (sell signal) stock price. The management seems to first let the stock climb for around 2 or 3 quarters starting at a point when the black line cuts north through the green line (200 day MA) at a point south of the blue line (buy sig). Works every time, I'm telling ya.
According to this criteria, TIVO, BAMM and PEET are a buy signal as of around last month. BRCM and QCOM may be on their way to converging to a buy signal in the next 5 days - I'll be watching.
2005-06-22 12:49 | User Profile
pjoseph - that sounds like a very good technique to me, especially if youve made it work for you. Very similar types of indicators can be used in the same way, such as MACD and stochastics. Even better, is when you can get several different indicators to confirm each other, along with the nasgaq itself in the same or very similar condition. Why ? Well, when the nasdaq rises or falls, it generally affects all stocks, so if ABC is what your watching, its move will be amplified even more if the nasdaq in general heads in the same direction. Often, ive found this to be the case, but both dont starting moving together on the same day.
To answer your question, yes that is a good way to use moving averages.
Another tip here, is to look for support and resistance levels to let you pick price targets.
2005-06-23 05:33 | User Profile
One really weak performer for the last five years has been BUSH. There is speculation that another company with the ticker symbol JOOZ has taken over BUSH. Wall Street traitors working out of NEOCN were the agents chiefly responsible but curiously, there is no public outcry from this obvious takeover. Sedition Systems (SISY) has recently posted gains following news on this quarter's trade deficit. Rumors that GOP may merge with DNC have turned out to be true based on similarities in management philosophy. NWO has postponed its hostile takeover bid to acquire US claiming that the two organizations are not in direct competition. Antichrist International has adopted a wait-and-see attitude in spite of the favorable investment climate and timetable.
Go ahead and print it - pjoseph
2005-06-23 15:43 | User Profile
OK, everyone (myself included), lets keep this thread on the original subject of specific stock tips and comments on those stocks. Everything else should go in a seperate thread.
GOOG - making another run at 300 soon ECST - looking to bounce here off the 50 day moving avg
Edited to add on 6-24-05: ECST has broken down below the 50 DMA (daily moving average) so i would not be a buyer here.
2005-06-23 19:29 | User Profile
Well, ED, you've acquitted yourself well --
[QUOTE]ENY ( Enernorth ) -- SPSC ( Spectrum ) -- INGN ( Introgen ) -- CPST ( Capstone Turbine ) -- LB ( LaBarge ) -- QTWW ( Quantum ) [/QUOTE] Your first 6 picks have performed roughly as follows: +200% flat -20% +30% +25% +30%
All in three-and-a-half weeks.
Not that I benefitted, but you've established yourself as a guru....
Here's a tip - a stock traded on the CNQ - symbol CSNO, a spinoff of GCD (which is traded on TSE). GCD recommended at C$7 in early 2003 - went up to C$50 and split 5 for 2 on June 9 (at C$20 now). CSNO recommended at C$.50 in December, now at C$2.25. My man says he sees this going to C$10 by spring. Would love to see your analysis.
Also, I'm long KRY and CCK (since 5/04) and have done well, but do you have any thoughts? And EYTC?
2005-06-24 14:16 | User Profile
Yes, good picks ED, lets have some more..
2005-06-25 03:36 | User Profile
Hi all. Good to see this thread flourishing. Yes, mw, it's been an interesting few weeks. I have a long list of new possibilities, along with old ones, sometimes I like the old ones because you get to get a real feel for when the stock is ready to move, and when the fundamentals take a couple years to develop, you're ready for the market to recognize it.
I will have to check out CSNO on [url]www.sedar.com[/url] and will get back on CCK.
I had Crystallex KRY a couple years ago. I left a lot of posts on the Yahoo board on that one. At the time it was still uncertain if the situation in Venezuela could work out. There were doubters. Looks like the " ayes ", including myself, won that argument. I had it at 2.20 and sold at 2.70 if I remember correctly. The amount of gold in Las Cristinas is enormous. EYTC is a pink sheet issue with a 150 mil mkt cap, strange. I wonder why they don't move up to one of the exchanges ? I am wary of buying anything on the pink sheets, but this one looks like it could be a special situation, it's not a penny stock. Will take another look at it. But without SEC filings, it's the Wild West.. ( still is with them ! ) For those of you who like technical analysis, [url]www.americanbulls.com[/url] is a good site. Just found that one today. I am not a believer in TA beyond the most obvious indicators, I can read a chart and know the formations to look for and what not but that's not how I do my research. Ok, mwdallas, et al.. let's see how my next month is. Here they are as they closed today ALTX @ .22, MBTT @ .065, GULF@ .99, KOPN @4.50, NWD@ .97. and CPST @ 1.23
My time frame on these is more like 2 months, but who knows..
2005-06-25 03:44 | User Profile
[QUOTE=pjoseph]One really weak performer for the last five years has been BUSH. There is speculation that another company with the ticker symbol JOOZ has taken over BUSH. Wall Street traitors working out of NEOCN were the agents chiefly responsible but curiously, there is no public outcry from this obvious takeover. Sedition Systems (SISY) has recently posted gains following news on this quarter's trade deficit. Rumors that GOP may merge with DNC have turned out to be true based on similarities in management philosophy. NWO has postponed its hostile takeover bid to acquire US claiming that the two organizations are not in direct competition. Antichrist International has adopted a wait-and-see attitude in spite of the favorable investment climate and timetable.
Go ahead and print it - pjoseph[/QUOTE]
funny :) :gunsmilie
2005-06-25 13:29 | User Profile
ED - I would still like to know how you start your search. Do you start with a paticular industry or sector. what criteria do you use. I think you mentioned you use a screener. i find that yahoos java based screener is very good. [url]http://screen.finance.yahoo.com/newscreener.html[/url]
Also, take a look at the SEC thread i started. Help please [url]http://www.originaldissent.com/forums/showthread.php?t=18713[/url]
2005-06-25 16:19 | User Profile
ED - thanks for responding to my questions. [QUOTE]EYTC is a pink sheet issue with a 150 mil mkt cap, strange. I wonder why they don't move up to one of the exchanges ?[/QUOTE]I believe that is in the works.
Thanks for the new recommendations. I'll pick a couple and roll with them for a while.
2005-06-26 03:16 | User Profile
[QUOTE=mwdallas]ED - thanks for responding to my questions. I believe that is in the works.
Thanks for the new recommendations. I'll pick a couple and roll with them for a while.[/QUOTE]
mw, feel free to email me. If you're going to roll with one of my choices, I'd like to discuss them with you.. my name's Ronald and you can email me at [email]RD868@JUNO.COM[/email]. :whlch:
2005-06-27 22:38 | User Profile
[QUOTE=JoseyWales]OK, everyone (myself included), lets keep this thread on the original subject of specific stock tips and comments on those stocks. Everything else should go in a seperate thread.
GOOG - making another run at 300 soon ECST - looking to bounce here off the 50 day moving avg
Edited to add on 6-24-05: ECST has broken down below the 50 DMA (daily moving average) so i would not be a buyer here.[/QUOTE]
GOOG closed at 304 and change today. tough to imagine an internet-related stock trading at that price today. Even though i was playing on paper, the july 300 call option back on june 16th could have been had for $3.70 and sold today for about $12.50
2005-06-28 02:15 | User Profile
[QUOTE=JoseyWales]GOOG closed at 304 and change today. tough to imagine an internet-related stock trading at that price today. Even though i was playing on paper, the july 300 call option back on june 16th could have been had for $3.70 and sold today for about $12.50[/QUOTE]
Yes, Josey. could have made money there. But that's a crapshoot for sure. I personally do not like GOOG at all. The company is exagerration to the extreme, it's backers are the Jew clans and paper manipulators ala Intel and Cisco of 10 years ago. But GOOG doesn't even have product. I was in a small business and struggled with AdWords for months. Basically, they are incredibly overestimated, overvalued and stink money.
My new picks are only 2 days old, off to a slow start, but time shall tell.
After these, I'm going back into short tern trading mode. Not options, however. Buying options requires vast confidence or vast abandon of concern.
2005-06-28 02:54 | User Profile
The stock market is grossly overvalued, and any good "investor" should actually be a speculator. Just because something is overvalued does not mean you can't sell it to someone else who will pay much more for it, however.
Also I would recommend learning to use stock options instead of stock. There are many more possiblities.
I bought some Google call options when GOOG was at 260, and did some put credit spreads. Today it closed over 300 and I'm up over 20% in a month.
2005-06-28 03:04 | User Profile
Some have waited, and waited, and waited...<<
With stock options "time spreads" you can make money while you're waiting and the stock is going nowhere.
2005-06-28 03:17 | User Profile
[QUOTE=JoseyWales]GOOG closed at 304 and change today. tough to imagine an internet-related stock trading at that price today. [/QUOTE]
I think Jim Cramer was hyping GOOG on this evening's show. Maybe it will hit 350 afterall. I totally missed it since my limit order was way too low.
[QUOTE=AGAviator]The stock market is grossly overvalued...
I agree and have been waiting for a pullback to 9500 on the Dow, but it is holding up for some reason. It may be like real estate in that certain factors (illegal invaders increasing demand, low interest rates, etc.) artificially drive up prices.
[QUOTE=AGAviator]I bought some Google call options when GOOG was at 260, and did some put credit spreads. Today it closed over 300 and I'm up over 20% in a month.[/QUOTE]
Nice trade.
2005-06-28 04:25 | User Profile
Barchart.com shows all the indicators and weighs them. Here's an example with GOOG, can simply type in any other symbol.
[url]http://quotes.barchart.com/texpert.asp?sym=GOOG[/url]
2005-06-28 06:32 | User Profile
ED / Josey, Here is a good stock screener:
[url="http://moneycentral.msn.com/investor/finder/"]http://moneycentral.msn.com/investor/finder/[/url] deluxestockscreen.aspx?query=Closed+Above+200-Day+MA+Today
I look for anything that breaks above its 200 day Moving Average, but you can select other criteria once you're there. While a lot of them are volatile companies and some are just plain speculative, you can still find reasonably stable ones there in a group of about 20 a day. Then, look for beta < 1, ratio of outstanding shares, profitability - and you can get all that at yahoo.
2005-06-29 03:16 | User Profile
[QUOTE=pjoseph]ED / Josey, Here is a good stock screener:
[url="http://moneycentral.msn.com/investor/finder/"]http://moneycentral.msn.com/investor/finder/[/url] deluxestockscreen.aspx?query=Closed+Above+200-Day+MA+Today
I look for anything that breaks above its 200 day Moving Average, but you can select other criteria once you're there. While a lot of them are volatile companies and some are just plain speculative, you can still find reasonably stable ones there in a group of about 20 a day. Then, look for beta < 1, ratio of outstanding shares, profitability - and you can get all that at yahoo.[/QUOTE]
you would do better to look for something which has a book value of under 2.
Then you delve into the filings. Look for revenues which are increasing., real book value is different for diffrerent sectors. Depreceation is different. Sellable value is different. If the assets are TRULY sellable that is what you want. Not assets that will be sold for 25cents on the dollar, which can show a fake book value. This is why I say that cash is king.
2005-06-30 02:48 | User Profile
so do you use online trading services?
2005-07-01 03:04 | User Profile
[QUOTE=BlueBonnet]so do you use online trading services?[/QUOTE] Hiya Blue / J. Speaking for myself, I used to use Waterhouse exclusively, then they merged with Toronto Dominion Bank and have for a few years now been TD Waterhouse. I still use them, and one of my clients uses Schwab, which I have had no problems with. Because I am not associated with any house, I tell them to use bare-boned yet reliable and trustworthy companies to place trades through. My major personal account is with AFTrader, [url]www.aftrader.com[/url] America First Associates is the full name. I can , and you or anyone else can, call them and get a physical human being on the line immediately, without having to press 1 for this and 2 for that etc. I am sure you know what I mean. They are small, but in 6 years with them, I have never had a problem. I actually get to talk to the guy that runs it, on a guy-2-guy level. I pay 9.95 for every trade I make. Regardless of volume. I haven't placed a trade over the phone in a while, but I think it's a flat 35$. :starwars:
2005-07-16 06:20 | User Profile
I just bought RFMD, which is the sole supplier of chipsets to NOK. But MOT is also gaining. So is TXN and INTC. I bought all of them because the moving average was favorable. They'll do OK for a quarter and then the institutions will take profits and cause them all to decrease again. So, for now you could make about 30% in a 3 month period if you wanted. High tech / cellphone stocks aren't coming back for good but the ones mentioned above are definitely on the increase.
Yes, the market is overvalued and any stock that dares increase and thinks it can mind its own business gets viciously hammered by institutions taking profit. So, you must play the moving average game and get the short rallies. Another scheme would be to find a stock screener that discriminates stocks with low institutional ownership. RMCF is one of those stocks - very low institutional ownership and look how they've done for years - very sweet.
2005-08-02 02:27 | User Profile
[QUOTE=mwdallas]Well, ED, you've acquitted yourself well --
Your first 6 picks have performed roughly as follows: +200% flat -20% +30% +25% +30%
All in three-and-a-half weeks.
Not that I benefitted, but you've established yourself as a guru....
[/QUOTE]
ok now lets look at my second basket..
2005-08-02 02:34 | User Profile
A little over a month later, this is what I get:
ALTX down from .22 to .16 MBTT up from .065 to .070 CXPI (formerly GULF) up from .99 to 1.21 KOPN up from 4.50 to 5.42 NWD up from .97 to 1.21 CPST up from 1.23 to 1.91
So, in 37 days, six stocks:
-27.3% +7.7% +22.2% +20.4% +24.7% +55.3%
Cumulative 17.2% return in 5+ weeks. Outstanding!
2005-08-02 02:39 | User Profile
[QUOTE=Exelsis_Deo]Hi all. Good to see this thread flourishing. Yes, mw, it's been an interesting few weeks. I have a long list of new possibilities, along with old ones, sometimes I like the old ones because you get to get a real feel for when the stock is ready to move, and when the fundamentals take a couple years to develop, you're ready for the market to recognize it. I am not a believer in TA beyond the most obvious indicators, I can read a chart and know the formations to look for and what not but that's not how I do my research. Ok, mwdallas, et al.. let's see how my next month is. Here they are as they closed today ALTX @ .22, MBTT @ .065, GULF@ .99, KOPN @4.50, NWD@ .97. and CPST @ 1.23
My time frame on these is more like 2 months, but who knows..[/QUOTE]
ok today is August 1st, that post was on June 26, so its about a month. Lets see what my second basket has delivered. ( not the highs, just today's close, and today wasn't even a good day ). ALTX .16 ( - 27 %) MBTT .07 ( + 7 % ) GULF, now is CXPI, 1.21 ( + 22 % ) NWD 1.19 ( + 23 % ) KOPN 5.45 ( +21 % ) CPST 1.94 ( + 58 % )
so my second basket netted 104 % for the month.
2005-08-02 02:49 | User Profile
thanks mw. I will come up with a new list very soon. I will keep this monthly so I have some kind of track record to show. Before I come out with my third basket, consider SPAB. It's been beaten up a bit much because of the space shuttle. As soon as the shuttle lands, buy it for an easy fast clip.
ciao for now.
2005-08-02 04:09 | User Profile
SBAP beat up ? id have to agree [url]http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/SC.web?c=SPAB,uu[/url][h,a]daclyyay[pb10!b50][vc60][iUp14,3,3!La12,26,9]&pref=G
2005-08-02 16:15 | User Profile
well, CPST is now 2.35 on 08/03.
Here's my picks for the next 4 weeks. Keep in mind that any can be sold before the month is up, but for purposes here we won't post results til the close before Labor Day weekend.
OTD @ 1.14 MBTT @ .07 TPC @ 2.48 SGU @ 3.01 ALTX @ .17 CSPI @ 10.96
2005-08-02 16:59 | User Profile
[QUOTE=Esoterist]The separation of work and ownership is schizophrenic and subversive.[/QUOTE]
Could be.
I am just not convinced of the value of "stock" because it is so practically separated from underlying value, which I'm told is 1) a share of profits and 2) a share of equity upon dissolution. As to the latter, I'm not sophisticated enough to calculate when and how this would happen, and even if I could, most "stock" in companies is so large-scale that trickery could easily unfold. As to the former, it's not guaranteed.
You're basically just holding on to some fictional and arbitrary "share" of a company in the hopes that the "value" will rise and you can sell it for a profit. That is, the "greater fool" theory of stock profiteering. So someone's always selling, and someone's always buying... does anyone get the feeling that absent a few sharpies, this game is always won by the house?
I understand debt. I understand real estate. Even currency, untied to gold as it is, has some guarantee. I need something tangible.
2005-08-02 18:40 | User Profile
Thanks, ED - I don't know how long you've been doing this, but your short-term track record here is outstanding. As you know, I've followed some of your picks (profitably), and I appreciate your sharing your recommendations.