Me: Article is over optimistic. It is essentially impossible to keep +1.5 C limit because we’ve already dialed in more than that. The bad news will hit in 2030-2050 time frame. This is one reason I supported Nuclear Breeder Reactors, back in the 80s — it was the only realistic way to cut back on C02 without killing lots of people in a die off (which would get political opposition or revolutions, even if some people thought self-genocide was ok as long as they stayed in power)
We rowed up this creek for 50 years and now we are out of paddle.It didn’t help that the academics decided to lie and grift about this stuff, and muddied the waters, but no substantive change was going to happen except we could have run the grid with Pu-239 (not U-235 — there isn’t enough of it)
If we’d turned off the fossil fuel and gone 100% nuclear asap in 1985, we’d already be past known reserves… ‘Peak U-235’ could have substituted for ‘Peak Oil’ but we’d still have had a problem ca. 2007-2027
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