Not to be bearer of bad news or anything… https://export.arxiv.org/abs/2406.11738

That’s actually the good news … 50% chance we make it to 2050 before this happens. What’s the bad news? Pre-print from last month: https://arxiv.org/abs/2504.20002
Review article from 2019: Stability of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation: A Review and Synthesis – Weijer – 2019 – Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans – Wiley Online Library
TBH, there are opposing viewpoints: OS – A 30-year reconstruction of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation shows no decline
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