Russia and Iran: A Postmodern Dance

2 posts

Theo

Russia has an interest in US/Iranian antogonism not because of arms deals or oil prices, there's a much bigger strategic goal.

Iran as a US enemy prevents the creation of a stable Pakistan-Turkey/Israel pipeline, that would allow to tap oil resources from Turkmenistan, Pakistan and deliver them to US-controlled Middle East and from there - to Israel, Europe, bypassing Russia.

A Russia-free oil strategy would basically put to a halt all Russian attempts to increase their leverage in Eastern, Southern and Central European states.

Mike
What does Sharia have to say about international contracts with non-Islamic firms? If the US had not backed the 1953 coup and Iran's oil industry had remained nationalized, then I presume Sharia would not be contradicted? Then, if AIPAC's influence could also have been removed, the US could have had a level of amiability with Iran similar to that with Saudi Arabia.


I think the opposition to war with Iran is deeper than Obama. War with Iran would cause too much stress on US armed forces, and it could ignite a regional conflagration that might see the more remote US bases being evacuated or overrun. It would necessitate a full-scale mobilization and immediate deployment of every available Guard unit, most of which aren't in great shape for war, which would cause immediate popular dissatisfaction stateside. A lot of the brass, and all with political ambitions, are craven stooges of the Zionists, but at the same time, none of them want to be seen as responsible for the severe situation that an Iran war would entail. Anything is possible, but going by the numbers war with Iran doesn't seem like it's in the cards.

As far as Israel, it's hard to guess what they will do, but what they've shown since 1967 is a general desire to hunker down and continue to make life as intolerable as possible for its occupied population. For all their bluster, I think they are sufficiently risk-averse as to preclude a unilateral attack on Iran. Also, it may be one hundred years away, but the day will come when the America electorate realizes that it doesn't need the Israeli albatross--for anything. Attacking Iran would definitely accelerate the arrival of that day, which is something Israel needs to avoid as much as anything else.